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Post by Old Badger on Feb 22, 2019 10:38:09 GMT -5
"JERUSALEM — Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s two main rivals in Israel’s upcoming election pledged Thursday to run against him on a joint ticket, increasing the pressure he faces even as he came under fire for making a pact with a far-right extremist party. Benny Gantz, a former army chief of staff, and Yair Lapid, a longtime opponent of the prime minister, said they were joining forces out of 'national responsibility' and would run on a joint ticket called 'Blue and White' — the colors of the Israeli flag. Gantz and Lapid have been largely polling in second and third place, respectively, ahead of the April 9 election...Gantz’s ticket now includes three former army chiefs of staff. Gabi Ashkenazi joined the party Thursday, and Moshe 'Bogie' Yaalon, who also once served as defense minister, joined Gantz last month... "If Netanyahu does win, the prospect of being indicted may make it hard for him and his Likud party to find coalition partners. That appears to have been on his mind when the prime minister joined forces Wednesday with three right-wing factions, making them potential coalition partners in a new government. One of those factions is Otzma Yehudit, or Jewish Power, made up of followers of the late Meir Kahane, an ultranationalist American Israeli rabbi. Israeli commentators and U.S. Jewish groups immediately decried the move, saying the faction was clearly an offshoot of Kahane’s Kach party, a group that is designated a terrorist organization by the State Department and banned in Israel. It was outlawed in Israel in 1994 after one of the party’s supporters, Baruch Goldstein, fatally shot 29 Palestinians as they prayed at a mosque in Hebron. The group had advocated banning mixed relationships and expelling non-Jews from Israel." linkCurrently, Netanyahu's six-party coalition has 61 seats to the Oppostion's 59. Gantz's new coalition runs the gamut from center-left to center-right (Ya'alon was Netanyahu's Defense Minister, and generally is to his right of the PM on most issues). What holds them together is that its leaders and many on its electoral ticket are former national security officials from the military, intelligence, and diplomatic communities. They fear that Netanyahu has undermined Israel's long-term security by his increasingly hard-line positions and growing links to authoritarian leaders, including some who are openly anti-Semitic, as in Hungary and Poland. The latest polls show the Likud party would lose 4 seats, to 26, while Gantz's coaltion is on pace to earn 36, and the first chance to built a governing coalition. In the past, Netanyahu is overperformed when starting from behind, and overperformed when starting out ahead. But before the election the State Prosecutor may indict him on criminal corruption charges, which could damage his ability to make a sufficient resurgence. And he's been in office for 13 years, a very long time for most democratic systems, and certainly Israel's. Election day is April 9.
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Post by leftylarry on Feb 23, 2019 21:43:41 GMT -5
Netanyahu will win and he is still the only player who can form a Government, Israel has a complex political system but it’s become a conservative country and in the end The current PM will prevail. I was just with the Consul General to NY a few weeks ago at an interfaith Charity deal in his home and I asked him directly.
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Post by Old Badger on Feb 24, 2019 14:02:43 GMT -5
Netanyahu will win and he is still the only player who can form a Government, Israel has a complex political system but it’s become a conservative country and in the end The current PM will prevail. I was just with the Consul General to NY a few weeks ago at an interfaith Charity deal in his home and I asked him directly. Yes, he likely will. But the fact that he's turned to a fascistic party to do so is a warning sign of just how polarized the country is becoming. It also will further alienate Israel from mainstream Jewish organizations in the US--well, already has, in fact.
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Post by Old Badger on Feb 26, 2019 12:27:25 GMT -5
Even AIPAC is criticizing Netanyahu over this: "JERUSALEM — Criticism of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his right-wing government has been heard from American Jews for a while now, but a simple 20-word tweet from the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), the largest American Israel lobby, has sent shock waves through the political establishment here. The tweet, which came late Friday, was a show of support for an earlier statement by another powerful group, the American Jewish Committee (AJC)...'The views of Otzma Yehudit are reprehensible. They do not reflect the core values that are the very foundation of the State of Israel,' AJC wrote in its statement. 'The party might conceivably gain enough votes to enter the next Knesset, and potentially even become part of the governing coalition.' AIPAC’s tweet simply said it agreed with the AJC and added that it 'has a long-standing policy not to meet with members of the racist and reprehensible party.'... "For AIPAC, which is often considered Netanyahu’s support base in the United States, the decision to criticize such a move is even more unusual. The pro-Israel lobby endeavors to remain apolitical, and the decision to air its view on this point was probably taken with much deliberation...'When AIPAC speaks out this way, this is cause for alarm. Members of Otzma Yehudit belong to the margins of Israeli politics, not just on the Palestinian issue,' said Netanyahu’s former defense minister Avigdor Liberman, head of the Yisrael Beiteinu party, another right-wing, but nonreligious, faction." linkIt takes a lot to get AIPAC to criticize anything about Israel, much less Netanyahu's government. This is just how divisive his move is. He's playing with fire, and they know it, even if he doesn't.
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Post by Old Badger on Feb 28, 2019 12:38:17 GMT -5
From the Jerusalem Post: "Attorney-General Avichai Mandelblit announced his intent to indict Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for bribery on Thursday in a blockbuster decision that could decisively impact the April 9 election. Mandelblit said that Netanyahu will be indicted for bribery, fraud and breach of trust in Case 4000, 'the Bezeq-Walla affair,' for breach of trust in Case 1000, 'the Illegal Gifts Affair,' and that he would charge him with fraud and breach of trust in Case 2000, 'the Yediot Aharonot-Israel Hayom affair.' "Netanyahu’s Likud party and Benny Gantz’s Blue and White party are neck and neck in the polls, and if the prime minister loses even a few seats due to the accusations against him for public corruption, it could turn the tide. Even if Netanyahu wins reelection, there is a strong chance that Mandelblit, after holding a series of pre-indictment hearings with Netanyahu’s lawyers, will issue a final decision to indict him in the next three to 12 months. This could lead the High Court of Justice to force the prime minister’s resignation if he does not voluntarily step down. Sources close to Mandelblit have previously told The Jerusalem Post that if the attorney-general moved to indict Netanyahu for the serious charge of bribery – as opposed to a lesser charge – he would not defend Netanyahu before the High Court if a petition was filed to force the prime minister to resign." linkIronically, Mandelblit has been "Netanyahu's man" for years, going back to his time as Military Advocate General in 2004-13. Netanyahu hired him as Cabinet Secretary (more or less Chief of Staff) in 2011, and pushed him for Attorney-General in 2016. Irony. link I wonder whether Barr & Mueller have the gonads to indict Trump (assuming evidence) in defiance of the Nixon-inspired "policy" of not indicting as sitting President.
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Post by leftylarry on Feb 28, 2019 13:18:22 GMT -5
Netanyahu will win and he is still the only player who can form a Government, Israel has a complex political system but it’s become a conservative country and in the end The current PM will prevail. I was just with the Consul General to NY a few weeks ago at an interfaith Charity deal in his home and I asked him directly. Yes, he likely will. But the fact that he's turned to a fascistic party to do so is a warning sign of just how polarized the country is becoming. It also will further alienate Israel from mainstream Jewish organizations in the US--well, already has, in fact. There's no polarization, the LEFTIST, ELITIST EUROPEAN JEWS, who grew up in the PINKO, post WW2 ISrael on the kibbutz's and other communes, they and their children are the minority, the religious Ashkenazi's are out populating them 4-1 because they don't have children, along with the Sephardics , who lived in Muslim countries and aren't fooled easily and the RUssians who lived under SOcialism/COmmunism and know it SUCKS. Sorry the old lefties and you will be dead soon and Israel and the world will be much better off for it.
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Post by Old Badger on Feb 28, 2019 14:42:08 GMT -5
Sorry the old lefties and you will be dead soon and Israel and the world will be much better off for it. Classy post, LL. I'll ask my kids/grandkids if they agree. ;-) Meanwhile your understanding of Israeli politics seems quite uninformed. Just the other day the WP had an article about the rapid rise of the new center coalition that is germane to this discussion: "Gantz’s centrist political party, Blue and White, leads the opposition despite being particularly vague on Israel’s most important ideological cleavage: the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In what has become something of a joke, Gantz has both stated that he would seek peace through compromise with the Palestinians and has run graphic ads boasting of the damage inflicted on Palestinians in Gaza during his time as head of the IDF. Why is Gantz surging despite his ambiguity on the country’s most important political issue? Our research on public opinion in Israel shows his success is because of, not despite, his vagueness. For more than a decade, Israeli attitudes toward the conflict have been increasingly characterized by dissonance, which a string of short-lived centrist parties have leveraged in elections. "The platforms of Israel’s self-proclaimed “center parties” have varied on some issues, including the economy, state-religion relations and pensioner rights. But their platforms share one important common element. Like Gantz, they all take ambiguous, often contradictory, positions on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, placing themselves between the dovish left and hawkish right. This ideological ambiguity explains the centrist bloc’s success, despite rapid changes in its composition. For nearly four decades after Israel’s occupation of the West Bank and Gaza in 1967, Israeli partisan politics was largely divided between supporters of a negotiated two-state solution on the left and supporters of military actions and settlement on the right. "But by the mid-2000s, the peace process had reached an impasse that neither negotiations nor military action was able to break. This gridlock, along with recent cycles of violence, has convinced a growing number of Israelis that territorial compromise with the Palestinians is necessary. Somewhat paradoxically, this realization has been accompanied by increased distrust of the Palestinians. The result, surveys show, is an increasing proportion of “skeptical doves” in the Israeli electorate: voters who support a two-state solution in principle but doubt that it can be achieved in practice... Between 1996 and 2015, nine different centrist parties have followed this path, most vanishing in less than two electoral cycles. As a bloc, however, the ongoing parade of centrist parties has created a stable centrist presence. As the graph below illustrates, the size of this centrist bloc has generally matched that of the leftist and rightist party blocs since the mid-2000s." Israel elections left right center.wdp.jxr (29.42 KB) What the graph shows is that during the 1990s and early 2000s support for both the Left and the Right nosedived, while the Center gained ground. In the 2015 elections Right parties won a bit over 30 percent of the vote, Left a bit under 30, and Center nearly 20. To say there's "no polarization" is silly. What about that Netanyahu indictment?
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Post by Old Badger on Mar 10, 2019 11:57:01 GMT -5
"Benjamin Netanyahu has said Israel is 'not a state of all its citizens', in a reference to the country’s Arab population. In comments on Instagram, the prime minister went on to say all citizens, including Arabs, had equal rights, but he referred to a deeply controversial law passed last year declaring Israel the nation state of the Jewish people. 'According to the basic nationality law we passed, Israel is the nation state of the Jewish people – and only it.'" linkNetanyahu is not unique in making such statements, or at least in behaving in line with them. Like many leaders these days, he's a throwback to the era of Nationalism that led to a unified Germany and Italy, an independent Greece, and the breakup of the Austro-Hungarian Empire into its many constituents parts...and ultimately to fascism, culminating in World War II. The post-war world was devised, principally by the United States, as a rules-based international system of cooperation to ensure mutual defense and shared prosperity. It has worked magnificently. For more than 70 years the major powers have avoided direct warfare, and despite appearances, the overall level of international warfare of any kind is as low as it's been since the creation of the modern state, while the percentage of the world's population living in poverty has fallen to its lowest level ever. Yet, despite this success--or perhaps because of it--a narrow nationalism is once again rearing its ugly head nearly everywhere, from Turkey to England, Sweden to China, Japan to Italy, and India to the United States. Mostly, this is in the form of reaction from rural areas and less-cosmopolitan cities that do not fully share in the benefits of this system, where rapidly improving technology is disrupting established economies and habits of life. But clearly it's not restricted to those areas. We see it vividly in the anti-immigrant movements in the US and Europe, and concomitant reactions even to native-born minorities. The dangers should be obvious, though many are not putting together the various strands into a more coherent picture. But anyone who understands what the upsurge in "blood and soil" nationalism did in Europe would be fearful as hell about this. I certainly am.
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Post by Old Badger on Apr 11, 2019 13:16:39 GMT -5
They're still counting ballots in Israel, partly because of a technical glitch and partly because of military ballots, but it appears that Netanyahu's Likud won 35 seats, and the main opposition Blue and White (a new party) also won 35. But with four other right-wing parties seemingly having won a total of 16, Netanyahu would have 61 of 120 Knesset seats. Another 4 could be in his coalition only if/until a final indictment is issued against him. linkIsrael started out in 1948 as a mostly-European country, but over time it's become more and more like its Middle Eastern neighbors, as the need to assemble parliamentary majorities has given increasing power to religious and Jewish ethnic identity parties. The long-dominant Labor Party has been reduced to a minor status, picking up just 6 seats in this election, fewer than either Shas or United Torah, with 8 each. The cosmopolitanism that once characterized the country is giving way to a much narrower sense of nationhood; there's even a proposal to reserve the right to vote only to Jews. It's hard to see how this is sustainable in the long run, but then who would have thought there'd be nearly continuous warfare in the region for more than 70 years?
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Post by Old Badger on May 21, 2019 16:10:34 GMT -5
A little update from a friend in Jerusalem: "Likud, won 35 seats in the Knesset. The primary opposition, Blue White, won the same number. How much credit should Bibi get from the success of five smaller parties, whose leaders indicated to the President that Bibi should be given the opportunity to form a government... the man's having trouble putting together a government. He has a bit more than a week left. Usually something happens in the last days. By this time, however, there's usually more agreed to than there is now."
So, things remain unsettled. Meanwhile, "The matter of hearings is currently in the news. The prosecutor's intention [is] to begin them in July...And in the air of a government not yet created are proposals that may protect the Prime Minister (and perhaps other officials) from prosecution. Bibi distanced himself from these shenanigans prior to the election, but more recently has guided Likud MKs in how to present the case for protection...Meanwhile, Bibi's wife, Sara, has refused to accept offers to let her off lightly with respect to her management of the official residence, which has included large and small instances of criminal corruption."
The key point, though, is one that I have been thinking about for a long time: "Israel is on the cusp of turning into something like Turkey, with certain forms of democracy, but using them to protect a leader with a record of personal corruption." We in the US are seeing much the same thing. It's not a small concern for democracy.
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Post by Old Badger on May 29, 2019 18:04:16 GMT -5
"In an unprecedented move, Israel will head to elections for a second time in less than six months after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu failed to form a government before a midnight deadline. Rather than give someone else the chance to do so, he forwarded legislation to dissolve parliament and trigger a new election in the fall." linkUnder Israeli law, the time to form a new government has expired. The reason is, at least at one level, a uniquely Israeli problem: the Ultra-Orthodox. To read a majority, Netanyahu needed the support of his former Defense Minister, Avigdor Liberman, into the fold. But Liberman insisted that he would not support a new government unless it agreed to draft legislation on requiring the Ultra-Orthodox to perform military service; currently, they're exempt, but the Supreme Court has required that exemption to be changed. Liberman is strongly secular and wants the Ultras treated like everyone else, but the Orthodox political parties insist on a much weaker version of the legislation. Netanyahu needs the 5 seats Liberman's party would deliver, but he can't agree to their terms because the Orthodox parties control 16, and he needs them, too. NOTE: This is an object lesson in the importance of a separation between Church and State. For most of our history we have not had explicitly religious parties in the US, so we have not faced this kind of conundrum. However, in the past few decades the Republican Party has become more and more a Christian--indeed, Evangelical Christian--party. This union of religion and politics, once common in Europe, has not served democracy well. Let's hope the GOP finds a better balance soon.
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Post by Old Badger on Jun 11, 2019 10:27:30 GMT -5
A nice piece from the WP probing the split between the Ultra-Orthodox and the rest of Israel's population over the military draft: "The ultra-Orthodox, a catchall for a religious community that includes a wide range of sects, choose largely to segregate themselves from the wider Israeli society to lead a life in which religious observance is paramount. Outside influences such as films, the Internet and mixing with secular Israelis are discouraged, if not forbidden. But in Israel’s fragmented parliamentary democracy, the political parties representing the ultra-Orthodox have become kingmakers in recent years, elevating their agenda and carving a fault line in Israeli society that is expected to grow...The ultra-Orthodox, also known as Haredim, make up only 12 percent of the population but are the fastest-growing segment of Israelis, with women giving birth to an average of 6.9 children." Cutting off from society is something many religious sects do, and for the same reason as the Haredim: fear that engagement with the outside world will cause their children to reject their religion. "Avraham Menkes, an ultra-Orthodox rabbi...sees conscription as a threat to the existence of his unique community. National service, he says, is a 'melting pot' designed to take Israeli Jewish immigrants from a diverse mix of cultures across the world and give them a uniform identity." And, of course, it is. "Most recently it was [Menke's] nephew, who took off his kippah, or Jewish head covering, after serving in the military. 'He went to the military as a Haredi,' he explained. 'And now he says he discovered the world.' ” But to most Israelis' it's not their job to keep Haredim "down on the farm" so to speak: "The conscription issue has stoked the ire of many in the wider population who do not see these religious Jews as paying their way. Employment among ultra-Orthodox men is only about 50 percent; many prefer religious study. The government supports them with tax breaks and large welfare payments." And as one of the children of such a family explains, “[The military's] a gate to go out from the community. The rabbis here are afraid people will connect with people from the outside. The army is one of these places.” The current power of the Haredim stems from what seemed like a minor concession: "Military exemptions for the Haredim have been around since the birth of Israel. In 1949, the country’s founder, David Ben- Gurion, granted them for 400 religious yeshiva students, because so many Jewish scholars had died in the Holocaust. Since then, numbers have ballooned." And as their numbers rose they formed political parties that, thanks to Israel's proportional representation system, now control 16 of 120 seats in the Knesset, enough to make them the power-brokers in a system where no party ever wins a majority, and all governments are multi-party coalitions (a lesson for fans of multi-party PR systems). And so Israel stumbles along with a minority effectively able to thwart more than 80 percent of the population.
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Post by Old Badger on May 25, 2020 21:28:38 GMT -5
Our Department of Justice has decided that a sitting President cannot be charged in court with a crime. But in Israel--and most parliamentary democracies--Prime Ministers do not have the regal prerogative (unlike US Presidents, PMs are head of government, but not heads of state). Just like other citizens, they can be brought before the independent courts on criminal charges. Donald Trump is lucky we don't allow that here, because in the US he had to face only Senators, a majority of whom feel a need for his support to stay in office. Lucky guy.
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Post by leftylarry on Jun 8, 2020 16:33:45 GMT -5
That’s why the founding. fathers here were smarter than the 1940’s Leftists of Israel. There in IsrEl a George Soros can “Trump up” stupidity, Like Bibi accepted Cigars and champagne from a good friend and make believe it’s actually an issue, here, Soros tried that and Trump won, everytime.
What you don’t understand is Israel is a Rightwing country. Blue & White was led by a guy who is a right winger himself and would rather join with Netanyahu than give in to the Left, the other Russian tried to be the King maker and his own people hate him now, many believe he was directly connect to Putin. You can’t fool Israelis who lived under Muslim rule and who were expelled penniless, only to be sent to Israel mostly, those Darker Jews that the Leftists in Europe make believe don’t exist are the risers in Israel Politics, along with the Russians who mostly hate the Left, The Modern religious And Haredi who Include the Hassids.
It will remain a friendly, Right Wing place that is also the most tolerant place in the Middle East for gays Who just LOVE Tel Aviv.
Yes the Leftists in the Universities try to lie and indoctrinate, just like in Europe and America but all those kids go into the army first and they are much better able to withstand the indoctrination. Only the very WHITE Askenazi’s Jews are the Leftists, the children of the holocaust survivors , from Germany, Poland, Hungry et all.
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Post by Old Badger on Jul 2, 2020 18:52:49 GMT -5
That’s why the founding. fathers here were smarter than the 1940’s Leftists of Israel. There in IsrEl a George Soros can “Trump up” stupidity, Like Bibi accepted Cigars and champagne from a good friend and make believe it’s actually an issue, here, Soros tried that and Trump won, everytime. What you don’t understand is Israel is a Rightwing country. Blue & White was led by a guy who is a right winger himself and would rather join with Netanyahu than give in to the Left, the other Russian tried to be the King maker and his own people hate him now, many believe he was directly connect to Putin. You can’t fool Israelis who lived under Muslim rule and who were expelled penniless, only to be sent to Israel mostly, those Darker Jews that the Leftists in Europe make believe don’t exist are the risers in Israel Politics, along with the Russians who mostly hate the Left, The Modern religious And Haredi who Include the Hassids. It will remain a friendly, Right Wing place that is also the most tolerant place in the Middle East for gays Who just LOVE Tel Aviv. Yes the Leftists in the Universities try to lie and indoctrinate, just like in Europe and America but all those kids go into the army first and they are much better able to withstand the indoctrination. Only the very WHITE Askenazi’s Jews are the Leftists, the children of the holocaust survivors , from Germany, Poland, Hungry et all. Blah, blah, blah. Netanyahu's still a crook.
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Post by EugeneNom on Jul 13, 2020 23:09:30 GMT -5
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Post by EugeneNom on Jul 13, 2020 23:12:19 GMT -5
<a href=https://megaremont.pro/khimki-restavratsiya-vann>Restoration of baths in Khimki</a>
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